{
  "schema_version": 1,
  "project": "Match Pulse",
  "former_name": "Project B",
  "stage": "Private research",
  "target_release": "Q1 2027",
  "target_is_estimate": true,
  "evidence_updated_at": "2026-10-28T05:31:03.399327+00:00",
  "controller_checked_at": "2026-10-28T05:36:03.833251+00:00",
  "controller_status": "waiting",
  "tracks": [
    {
      "id": "state-three",
      "name": "Three-match form",
      "historical_samples": 10,
      "locked": 1,
      "reconciled": 0,
      "protocol": "Historical forward replay; within ±6 state points",
      "caveat": "Rebuilt historical data. Three-match windows overlap.",
      "model_hits": 8,
      "baseline_hits": 3,
      "historical_mean_confidence": 0.584,
      "baseline": "Most frequent state band in the training data"
    },
    {
      "id": "state-single",
      "name": "Single-match form",
      "historical_samples": 10,
      "locked": 1,
      "reconciled": 1,
      "protocol": "Historical forward replay; within ±6 state points",
      "caveat": "Rebuilt historical data; not an independent live trial.",
      "model_hits": 5,
      "baseline_hits": 3,
      "historical_mean_confidence": 0.412,
      "baseline": "Most frequent state band in the training data"
    },
    {
      "id": "style",
      "name": "Match style",
      "historical_samples": 10,
      "locked": 1,
      "reconciled": 1,
      "protocol": "Historical forward replay; next-match class",
      "caveat": "Learned behaviour groups, not independently verified tactical labels.",
      "model_hits": 3,
      "baseline_hits": 4,
      "model_log_loss": 1.269,
      "baseline_log_loss": 1.458,
      "baseline": "Training-period class frequencies"
    },
    {
      "id": "red",
      "name": "Red-card risk",
      "historical_samples": 0,
      "locked": 2,
      "reconciled": 1,
      "protocol": "Latest historical replay; labels required before scoring",
      "baseline": "Training-period league event rate",
      "caveat": "Latest replay has no scored labels."
    },
    {
      "id": "yellow_zero",
      "name": "No-yellow probability",
      "historical_samples": 0,
      "locked": 1,
      "reconciled": 0,
      "protocol": "Latest historical replay; labels required before scoring",
      "baseline": "Training-period league event rate",
      "caveat": "Latest replay has no scored labels."
    },
    {
      "id": "yellow_count",
      "name": "Yellow-card count",
      "historical_samples": 0,
      "locked": 2,
      "reconciled": 1,
      "protocol": "Latest historical replay; labels required before scoring",
      "baseline": "Training-period league mean count",
      "caveat": "Latest replay has no scored labels."
    }
  ],
  "reliability": "Live reliability is not established. Research continues.",
  "scope": "Aggregate research progress only. Match predictions, raw data and model files remain private.",
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "delivery": "Published snapshot",
  "available": true
}